Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.615196 3.122813 3.676160 4.320874 5.048030 5.839456 6.762536
2026-02-01 1.788311 2.421189 3.174606 4.124374 5.275819 6.612699 8.267530
2026-02-08 1.253471 1.924888 2.795643 3.976228 5.501742 7.372703 9.804152
2026-02-15 0.904331 1.576456 2.524033 3.898719 5.778987 8.196444 11.468542
2026-02-22 0.721638 1.412281 2.460621 4.071226 6.378976 9.459214 13.761819
2026-03-01 0.544862 1.208598 2.297319 4.069428 6.726338 10.401056 15.686806
2026-03-08 0.372506 0.958768 2.009752 3.832347 6.699559 10.813693 16.909907
2026-03-15 0.259003 0.777899 1.794314 3.666729 6.745824 11.312466 18.258720
2026-03-22 0.217166 0.731971 1.806888 3.871868 7.370816 12.674938 20.881882
2026-03-29 0.192915 0.718524 1.876601 4.178943 8.174826 14.337884 24.001956
2026-04-05 0.166019 0.688613 1.906771 4.414851 8.873820 15.869846 26.984627
2026-04-12 0.128541 0.613644 1.827798 4.437290 9.212696 16.858769 29.194354
2026-04-19 0.089124 0.512652 1.672777 4.300515 9.278201 17.440257 30.845089
2026-04-26 0.061493 0.431963 1.544242 4.196156 9.387465 18.091631 32.624226
2026-05-03 0.041677 0.364319 1.429236 4.100802 9.499639 18.745918 34.424916
2026-05-10 0.028576 0.313253 1.343561 4.054490 9.694615 19.540535 36.468706
2026-05-17 0.023595 0.301140 1.366367 4.253015 10.365768 21.159854 39.871547
2026-05-24 0.016525 0.266474 1.311412 4.263846 10.671741 22.167405 42.321103
2026-05-31 0.008775 0.208906 1.162126 4.025531 10.463245 22.273127 43.306307
2026-06-07 0.004575 0.167527 1.049945 3.857920 10.378254 22.582764 44.626013
2026-06-14 0.003734 0.164962 1.083853 4.073827 11.102548 24.358542 48.426758
2026-06-21 0.003465 0.171071 1.154474 4.394647 12.063772 26.588318 53.036264
2026-06-28 0.002895 0.170253 1.196301 4.640803 12.876719 28.571713 57.273282